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TheBlessingsofMultipleCausesDavidM.BleiDepartmentsofComputerScienceandStatisticsDataScienceInstituteColumbiaUniversityMay23,2022JointworkwithYixinWang ÉThedeconfounderÉAcademicdebateaboutthedeconfounderÉOpenresearchproblemsforthedeconfounder AfrivolouscausalinferenceproblemÉDataaboutmovies:castsandrevenueÉGoal:UnderstandthecausaleffectofputtinganactorinamovieÉCausal:“Whatwilltherevenuebeifwemakeamoviewithaparticularcast?” ThenaivesolutionTitleCastRevenueAvatar{SamWorthington,ZoeSaldana,SigourneyWeaver,StephenLang,...}$2788MTitanic{KateWinslet,LeonardoDiCaprio,FrancesFisher,BillyZane,...}$1845MTheAvengers{RobertDowneyJr.,ChrisEvans,MarkRualo,ChrisHemsworth,...}$1520MJurassicWorld{ChrisPratt,BryceDallasHoward,IrrfanKhan,VincentD’Onofrio,...}$1514MFurious7{VinDiesel,PaulWalker,DwayneJohnson,MichelleRodriguez,...}$1506MAvengers:AgeofUltron{RobertDowneyJr.,ChrisHemsworth,MarkRualo,ChrisEvans,...}$1405MFrozen{KristenBell,IdinaMenzel,JonathanGro,JoshGad,...}$1274MIronMan3{RobertDowneyJr.,G...