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The Potential Effects of a Supreme Court Decision to Overturn the Affordable Care Act: Updated Estimates1 1 The Potential Effects of a Supreme Court Decision to Overturn the Affordable Care Act: Updated EstimatesOCTOBER 2020Linda J. Blumberg, Michael Simpson, Matthew Buettgens, Jessica Banthin, John HolahanSupport for this research was provided by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Foundation.IntroductionThe Supreme Court is set to hear oral arguments in California v. Texas (called Texas v. U.S. when heard by the lower courts) on November 10, 2020. In the case, a group of state attorneys general, led by the Texas attorney general, argue the entire Affordable Care Act (ACA) should be found unconstitutional and overturned, given that a 2017 tax law set the ACA’s individual mandate penalties to $0 but did not eliminate the now-unenforced individual mandate language along with them. Another group of attorneys general, le...